Probabilistic determinants of the risk of desertion in the Universities of Nariño and the Valle (Colombia) from the records established by the ministry of national education (2007-2017)

Authors

  • Marco Antonio Burgos Flóres Universidad de Nariño. Pasto (Colombia)
  • Katherin Julieth Ruales Suárez Universidad de Nariño. Pasto (Colombia)
  • Yhony Estivel Bastidas García Universidad de Nariño. Pasto (Colombia)
  • Carlos Manuel Córdoba Segovia Universidad de Nariño. Pasto (Colombia)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17981/cultedusoc.11.1.2020.08

Keywords:

Attrition risk, Education, Universities, Probabilistic models

Abstract

The article analyzes the main probabilistic determinants of dropout risk in the student population of the Universities of Nariño and del Valle, Colombia, based on the classification made by the System for the Prevention of Attrition in Higher Education Institutions ( Spadies), with medium and medium high abandonment risk on the rating scale. The analytical methodological basis is based on the estimation of a probit model, with a dichotomous dependent discrete variable “risk group” and several continuous and discrete return. The results determine the profile of the student with the highest risk of dropping out in the two universities represented by male subjects assigned to the Faculty of Exact and Natural Sciences, who do not have financial support within the university where they are assigned. It is concluded that attrition, in addition to affecting the student as a social being, has a negative impact on the performance of higher education institutions due to their co-responsibility in the formation of an integral citizen.

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References

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Published

2020-03-12

How to Cite

Burgos Flóres, M. A., Ruales Suárez, K. J., Bastidas García, Y. E., & Córdoba Segovia, C. M. (2020). Probabilistic determinants of the risk of desertion in the Universities of Nariño and the Valle (Colombia) from the records established by the ministry of national education (2007-2017). CULTURA EDUCACIÓN Y SOCIEDAD, 11(1), 117–126. https://doi.org/10.17981/cultedusoc.11.1.2020.08

Issue

Vol. 11 No. 1 (2020): Cultura Educación y Sociedad

Section

ARTICLES

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