Prospective methods implemented during the development of technology forecasting of electrical vehicles (EVS) and prospective technologies in Colombia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17981/ingecuc.11.2.2015.06Keywords:
Technology Forecasting, Prospective, Electrical Vehicles, Delphi rounds, Planning of scenariosAbstract
This paper presents prospective methodsimplemented during the development of Surveillance Technology in Electrical Vehicles and Prospective technologies in Colombia. These methods are developed for identifying related lines of research and emerging technologies which foster innovation. Methodologies are Delphi rounds and the planning of future scenarios. Both methodologies are implemented as tools to identify research topics that revolve around EVs in Colombia. The topics selected following the development of technology forecasting, were discussed by a group of experts who contextualized the information obtained from Colombia. From this analysis, scenarios were constructed. Technologies hampering the incursion of EVs in Colombia were determined, as well as the technologies with the greatest trend to be consumed and the most influential regulatory aspects.
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