Estimation and analysis of the relationship between economic development and CO2 emissions
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17981/econcuc.44.2.2023.Org.1Keywords:
Economic development, CO2 emissions, Environmental deterioration, Environmental curve, Fuzzy logicAbstract
The environmental situation is an issue that concerns the world and that must be addressed from different angles for this reason this article aims to determine the relationship between economic development and CO2 emissions per capita, according to the premise of Kuznets. For this, an econometric model is applied with data from the year 2003 - 2016, for eleven (11) countries: Germany, Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, United States, United Arab Emirates and Russia. The results obtained from the econometric model used partially confirm the hypothetical relationship posed by the CAK environmental curve. A fuzzy logic model complements this finding where the variability of the behavior of future CO2 emissions is appreciated according to the input variable GDP per capita and CO2 per capita. Both models lead to a holistic, inclusive and creative understanding of the environmental situation. It is concluded from the data used for the two models of increase or decrease of CO2 emissions, which is conditioned to multiple variables, so the fuzzy logic opens a new field of exploration in this topic.
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